SAGMOS – Statistical Analysis of Generative Models
Generative modeling, the automatic generation of examples such as texts, images, music, and molecules that are similar to those in a given dataset, is a central task in artificial intelligence. Mathematically, this task is framed as the problem of sampling from an unknown distribution, which is accessible only through a limited set of examples drawn to it. The size and quality of this set can vary greatly depending on the application. The algorithms that have propelled generative modeling to fame are known for their substantial data and computational resource requirements, often necessitating vast amounts of both to achieve state-of-the-art performance.

The goal of this project is to investigate the mathematical properties of generative modeling algorithms to better understand their strengths and weaknesses, enhance their efficiency, and design new methods. The mathematical challenge in generative modeling lies in successfully integrating techniques from various areas of mathematical statistics and probability theory: dimension reduction, nonparametric estimation, manifold learning, sampling, optimal transport, stochastic calculus, etc. Investigating the mathematical properties of this pipeline requires a deep analysis of these methods and their interactions to solve the overarching problem. Such analysis is key to exploring multiple facets of generative modeling algorithms, including precision, robustness, creativity, and computational traceability.
Our focus will be on obtaining interpretable statistical guarantees that highlight the impact of sample size, intrinsic and ambient dimensions, noise level, and contamination rate on precision, creativity, and running time. These guarantees are essential in AI to ensure the reliability of the resulting algorithms and enhance their trustworthiness, explainability, and frugality. We will pay special attention to stability and robustness properties, particularly against model misspecification, noise, and outliers.
Funded by the European Union (ERC, SAGMOS, 101201229). Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Research Council Executive Agency. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.
ontact

Arnak Dalalyan – Principal investigator
Arnak Dalalyan is a Researcher in Statistics at CREST-Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI and Professor at ENSAE Paris.
His work lies at the crossroads of statistics, machine learning, and optimization, with a strong emphasis on the theoretical and methodological foundations of data science.

Nicolas Brosse – Post-doctoral Researcher

Elen Vardanyan – PhD

Vahan Arsenyan – PhD
Preprints
Published papers
- Assessing the Quality of Denoising Diffusion Models in Wasserstein Distance: Noisy Score and Optimal Bounds, Vahan Arsenyan, Elen Vardanyan, Arnak S. Dalalyan, NeurIPS 2025
- Contextual Causal Bayesian Optimisation, Vahan Arsenyan, Antoine Grosnit, Haitham Bou Ammar, Arnak S. Dalalyan, ICLR 2026
Talks
- Workshop on Frontiers of Statistical Inference, November 24-27, 2025
- NeurIPS Conference, San Diego (V. Arsenyan, E. Vardanyan) Assessing the quality of denoising diffusion models in Wasserstein distance, December 4, 2025
- IP Paris – Hi!Paris Computer Vision Workshop, January 14, 2026
- Statistics seminar, Imperial College, London (A. Dalalyan) Discretisation error of Denoising Diffusions measured in Wasserstein Distance, March 6, 2026
- CORE-AI 2026 Thematic School, Montpellier (A. Dalalyan) Generative Models and GAN theory, March 17, 2026
- Poster: Generative Modeling Spring School, London (E. Vardanyan) Assessing the quality of denoising diffusion models in Wasserstein distance, March 25, 2026
- Statistics and Data Science seminar, MBZUAI, Abu Dhabi (A. Dalalyan) Langevin Monte Carlo: randomized mid-point method revisited, April 17, 2026
- Poster ICLR Conference, Rio de Janeiro, (V. Arsenyan) Contextual Causal Bayesian Optimisation, April 24, 2026
- Colloquium on Statistics, Tsinghua University, China (A. Dalalyan) Denoising Diffusions: Optimal rate of Discretisation in Wasserstein Distance, May 7, 2026
- Workshop on Statistics and Machine Learning, Ningbo, China (A. Dalalyan) Discretisation error of Denoising Diffusions measured in Wasserstein Distance, May 9, 2026
- Zhejian University, China (A. Dalalyan) Denoising Diffusions: Optimal rate of Discretisation in Wasserstein Distance, May 11, 2026
News
- Arman Fahradian is joining the project from Sept. 1, 2026 as a PhD Student.
- SAGMOS team is organizing the Statistics and Learning Theory Summer School (12 – 19 July 2026, Armenia).
- SAGMOS team is organizing the Workshop on Statistics of Stochastic Processes in honor of Yury Kutoyants’ 80th birthday (17 – 18 September 2026, France).