Microeconometrics Seminar: Every Tuesday
Time: 12:15 pm – 13:30 pm
Date: 1st of February 2022
Room : en visio

Abstract: We provide closed-form solutions for measuring electoral closeness of candidates in proportional representation systems. In contrast to plurality systems, closeness in proportional representation systems cannot be directly inferred from votes. Our measure consistently captures electoral closeness for both open- and closed-list systems and for both main families of seat allocation mechanisms. This unified measure quantifies the vote surplus (shortfall) for elected (non-elected) candidates. It can serve as an assignment variable in regression discontinuity designs or as a measure of electoral competitiveness. For illustration, we estimate the incumbency advantage for the parliaments in Switzerland, Honduras, and Norway. With Simon Luechinger and Mark Schelker.

Organizers:

Benoît SCHMUTZ (Pôle d’économie du CREST)
Anthony STRITTMATTER (Pôle d’économie du CREST)
Sponsors:
CREST