This year again, CREST research team have made a strong mark at one of the world’s most prestigious conferences in artificial intelligence and machine learning: NeurIPS 2025.
A total of 19 papers by CREST members have been accepted, reflecting the lab’s growing influence in the global research community and the vitality of its teams in statistics, finance-insurance, and data science.
The accepted papers showcase the breadth and depth of the work carried out within the CREST.
Several contributions advance the fast-evolving field of diffusion and generative models, while others deepen the theoretical understanding of optimal transport and Wasserstein-based methods, approaches that connect CREST’s expertise in statistics and quantitative finance.
Other works explore kernel and inference methods, bandit algorithms, or privacy-preserving learning, illustrating the CREST’s commitment to developing both fundamental and responsible AI.
Beyond their diversity, these projects share a common spirit: a blend of mathematical rigor, computational innovation, and interdisciplinary collaboration. Together, they embody CREST’s ongoing mission to push the boundaries of what data-driven research can achieve, from theory to real-world impact.
Authors: Louis Allain, Sébastien Da Veiga, Brian Staber
Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of adaptivity, although several works introduced practically efficient alternate procedures. In this work, we build upon recent ideas that rely on recasting the CP problem as a statistical learning problem, directly targeting coverage and adaptivity. This statistical learning problem is based on reproducible kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) and kernel sum-of-squares (SoS) methods. First, we extend previous results with a general representer theorem and exhibit the dual formulation of the learning problem. Crucially, such dual formulation can be solved efficiently by accelerated gradient methods with several hundreds or thousands of samples, unlike previous strategies based on off-the-shelf semidefinite programming algorithms. Second, we introduce a new hyperparameter tuning strategy tailored specifically to target adaptivity through bounds on test-conditional coverage. This strategy, based on the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC), is introduced here to tune kernel lengthscales in our framework, but has broader applicability since it could be used in any CP algorithm where the score function is learned. Finally, extensive experiments are conducted to show how our method compares to related work. All figures can be reproduced with the accompanying code.
Authors: Marguerite Petit–Talamon, Marc Lambert, anna Korba
Abstract:Variational inference (VI) is a popular approach in Bayesian inference, that looks for the best approximation of the posterior distribution within a parametric family, minimizing a loss that is typically the (reverse) Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. In this paper, we focus on the following parametric family: mixtures of isotropic Gaussians (i.e., with diagonal covariance matrices proportional to the identity) and uniform weights. We develop a variational framework and provide efficient algorithms suited for this family. In contrast with mixtures of Gaussian with generic covariance matrices, this choice presents a balance between accurate approximations of multimodal Bayesian posteriors, while being memory and computationally efficient. Our algorithms implement gradient descent on the location of the mixture components (the modes of the Gaussians), and either (an entropic) Mirror or Bures descent on their variance parameters. We illustrate the performance of our algorithms on numerical experiments.
Authors: Touqeer Ahmad, Mohammadreza Mousavi Kalan, François Portier, Gilles Stupfler
Abstract: Oversampling synthetic minority examples using and its variants is a leading strategy for addressing imbalanced classification problems. Despite the success of this approach in practice, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. We develop a theoretical framework to analyze the behavior of and related methods when classifiers are trained on synthetic data. First, we establish an exponential inequality that characterizes the gap between the empirical risk computed on synthetic samples and the true population risk on the minority class. Second, we show that a kernel-based classification rule trained on synthetic data can achieve the minimax rate of convergence. This leads to practical guidelines for better parameter tuning of both and the downstream learning algorithm. Numerical experiments are provided to illustrate and support the theoretical findings.
Authors: Vahan Arsenyan, Elen Vardanyan, Arnak Dalalyan
Abstract: Generative modeling aims to produce new random examples from an unknown target distribution, given access to a finite collection of examples. Among the leading approaches, denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) construct such examples by mapping a Brownian motion via a diffusion process driven by an estimated score function. In this work, we first provide empirical evidence that DDPMs are robust to constant-variance noise in the score evaluations. We then establish finite-sample guarantees in Wasserstein-2 distance that exhibit two key features: (i) they characterize and quantify the robustness of DDPMs to noisy score estimates, and (ii) they achieve faster convergence rates than previously known results. Furthermore, we observe that the obtained rates match those known in the Gaussian case, implying their optimality.
Authors: Marius Potfer, Vianney Perchet
Abstract: Repeated multi-unit auctions, where a seller allocates multiple identical items over many rounds, are common mechanisms in electricity markets and treasury auctions. We compare the two predominant formats: uniform-price and discriminatory auctions, focusing on the perspective of a single bidder learning to bid against stochastic adversaries. We characterize the learning difficulty in each format, showing that the regret scales similarly for both auction formats under both full-information and bandit feedback, as and
, respectively. However, analysis beyond worst-case regret reveals structural differences: uniform-price auctions may admit faster learning rates, with regret scaling as
in settings where discriminatory auctions remain at
. Finally, we provide a specific analysis for auctions in which the other participants are symmetric and have unit-demand, and show that in these instances a similar regret rate separation appears.
Authors: Georgios Gavrilopoulos, Guillaume Lecué, Zong Shang
Abstract: We obtain upper bounds for the estimation error of Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) for all non-negative regularization parameters, offering a geometric perspective on various phenomena in KRR. As applications: 1. We address the multiple descent problem, unifying the proofs of arXiv:1908.10292 and arXiv:1904.12191 for polynomial kernels and we establish multiple descent for the upper bound of estimation error of KRR under sub-Gaussian design and non-asymptotic regimes. 2. For a sub-Gaussian design vector and for non-asymptotic scenario, we prove a one-sided isomorphic version of the Gaussian Equivalent Conjecture. 3. We offer a novel perspective on the linearization of kernel matrices of non-linear kernel, extending it to the power regime for polynomial kernels. 4. Our theory is applicable to data-dependent kernels, providing a convenient and accurate tool for the feature learning regime in deep learning theory. 5. Our theory extends the results in arXiv:2009.14286 under weak moment assumption.
Our proof is based on three mathematical tools developed in this paper that can be of independent interest: 1. Dvoretzky-Milman theorem for ellipsoids under (very) weak moment assumptions. 2. Restricted Isomorphic Property in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces with embedding index conditions. 3. A concentration inequality for finite-degree polynomial kernel functions.
Authors: Yvann Le Fay, Nicolas Chopin, Simon Barthelmé
Abstract: Variational inference consists in finding the best approximation of a target distribution within a certain family, where `best’ means (typically) smallest Kullback-Leiber divergence. We show that, when the approximation family is exponential, the best approximation is the solution of a fixed-point equation. We introduce LSVI (Least-Squares Variational Inference), a Monte Carlo variant of the corresponding fixed-point recursion, where each iteration boils down to ordinary least squares regression and does not require computing gradients. We show that LSVI is equivalent to stochastic mirror descent; we use this insight to derive convergence guarantees. We introduce various ideas to improve LSVI further when the approximation family is Gaussian, leading to a O(d³) complexity in the dimension d of the target in the full-covariance case, and a O(d)complexity in the mean-field case. We show that LSVI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in a range of examples, while remaining gradient-free, that is, it does not require computing gradients.
Authors: Luca Arnaboldi, Bruno Loureiro, Ludovic Stephan, Florent Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborova
Abstract: We study the dynamics of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for a class of sequence models termed Sequence Single-Index (SSI) models, where the target depends on a single direction in input space applied to a sequence of tokens. This setting generalizes classical single-index models to the sequential domain, encompassing simplified one-layer attention architectures. We derive a closed-form expression for the population loss in terms of a pair of sufficient statistics capturing semantic and positional alignment, and characterize the induced high-dimensional SGD dynamics for these coordinates. Our analysis reveals two distinct training phases: escape from uninformative initialization and alignment with the target subspace, and demonstrates how the sequence length and positional encoding influence convergence speed and learning trajectories. These results provide a rigorous and interpretable foundation for understanding how sequential structure in data can be beneficial for learning with attention-based models.
Authors: Oussama Zekri, Nicolas Boullé
Abstract: Discrete diffusion models have recently gained significant attention due to their ability to process complex discrete structures for language modeling. However, fine-tuning these models with policy gradient methods, as is commonly done in Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF), remains a challenging task. We propose an efficient, broadly applicable, and theoretically justified policy gradient algorithm, called Score Entropy Policy Optimization (SEPO), for fine-tuning discrete diffusion models over non-differentiable rewards. Our numerical experiments across several discrete generative tasks demonstrate the scalability and efficiency of our method. Our code is available at this https URL.
Authors: Stanislas Strasman, Sobihan Surendran, Claire Boyer, Sylvain Le Corff, Vincent Lemaire, Antonio Ocello
Abstract: Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) have achieved impressive performance in data generation across a wide range of applications and benefit from strong theoretical guarantees. Recently, methods inspired by statistical mechanics, in particular Hamiltonian dynamics, have introduced Critically-damped Langevin Diffusions (CLD), which define diffusion processes in extended spaces by coupling the data with auxiliary variables. These approaches, along with their associated score-matching and sampling procedures, have been shown to outperform standard diffusion-based samplers numerically. In this paper, we propose an upper bound on the sampling error for CLD-based generative models in the Wasserstein metric. To better exploit the extended space, we also propose a modified dynamic that introduces an additional hyperparameter controlling the noise applied to the data coordinates. This hyperparameter influences the smoothness of sample paths, and our discretization error analysis offers practical guidance for tuning, leading to improved sampling performance.
Authors: Nina Vesseron, Louis Béthune, Marco Cuturi
Abstract: The canonical approach in generative modeling is to split model fitting into two blocks: define first how to sample noise (e.g. Gaussian) and choose next what to do with it (e.g. using a single map or flows). We explore in this work an alternative route that ties sampling and mapping. We find inspiration in moment measures, a result that states that for any measure ρ, there exists a unique convex potential u such that ρ=∇u♯e−u. While this does seem to tie effectively sampling (from log-concave distribution e−u) and action (pushing particles through ∇u), we observe on simple examples (e.g., Gaussians or 1D distributions) that this choice is ill-suited for practical tasks. We study an alternative factorization, where ρ is factorized as ∇w∗♯e−w, where w∗ is the convex conjugate of a convex potential w. We call this approach conjugate moment measures, and show far more intuitive results on these examples. Because ∇w∗ is the Monge map between the log-concave distribution e−w and ρ, we rely on optimal transport solvers to propose an algorithm to recover w from samples of ρ, and parameterize w as an input-convex neural network. We also address the common sampling scenario in which the density of ρ is known only up to a normalizing constant, and propose an algorithm to learn w in this setting.
Author: Imad Aouali
Abstract: Efficient exploration is a key challenge in contextual bandits due to the large size of their action space, where uninformed exploration can result in computational and statistical inefficiencies. Fortunately, the rewards of actions are often correlated and this can be leveraged to explore them efficiently. In this work, we capture such correlations using pre-trained diffusion models; upon which we design diffusion Thompson sampling (dTS). Both theoretical and algorithmic foundations are developed for dTS, and empirical evaluation also shows its favorable performance.
Authors: Jung-Hun Kim, Milan Vojnovic, Min-hwan Oh
Abstract: We study the combinatorial semi-bandit problem where an agent selects a subset of base arms and receives individual feedback. While this generalizes the classical multi-armed bandit and has broad applicability, its scalability is limited by the high cost of combinatorial optimization, requiring oracle queries at *every* round. To tackle this, we propose oracle-efficient frameworks that significantly reduce oracle calls while maintaining tight regret guarantees. For worst-case linear rewards, our algorithms achieve regret using only
oracle queries. We also propose covariance-adaptive algorithms that leverage noise structure for improved regret, and extend our approach to general (non-linear) rewards. Overall, our methods reduce oracle usage from linear to (doubly) logarithmic in time, with strong theoretical guarantees.
Authors: Rémi Castera, Felipe Garrido, Patrick Loiseau, Simon Mauras, Mathieu Molina, Vianney Perchet
Abstract: We consider matroid allocation problems under opportunity fairness constraints: resources need to be allocated to a set of agents under matroid constraints (which includes classical problems such as bipartite matching). Agents are divided into C groups according to a sensitive attribute, and an allocation is opportunity-fair if each group receives the same share proportional to the maximum feasible allocation it could achieve in isolation. We study the Price of Fairness (PoF), i.e., the ratio between maximum size allocations and maximum size opportunity-fair allocations. We first provide a characterization of the PoF leveraging the underlying polymatroid structure of the allocation problem. Based on this characterization, we prove bounds on the PoF in various settings from fully adversarial (wort-case) to fully random. Notably, one of our main results considers an arbitrary matroid structure with agents randomly divided into groups. In this setting, we prove a PoF bound as a function of the size of the largest group. Our result implies that, as long as there is no dominant group (i.e., the largest group is not too large), opportunity fairness constraints do not induce any loss of social welfare (defined as the allocation size). Overall, our results give insights into which aspects of the problem’s structure affect the trade-off between opportunity fairness and social welfare.
Authors: Shiyun Lin, Simon Mauras, Nadav Merlis, Vianney Perchet
Abstract: We study the problem of matching markets with ties, where one side of the market does not necessarily have strict preferences over members at its other side. For example, workers do not always have strict preferences over jobs, students can give the same ranking for different schools and more. In particular, assume w.l.o.g. that workers’ preferences are determined by their utility from being matched to each job, which might admit ties. Notably, in contrast to classical two-sided markets with strict preferences, there is no longer a single stable matching that simultaneously maximizes the utility for all workers.
We aim to guarantee each worker the largest possible share from the utility in her best possible stable matching. We call the ratio between the worker’s best possible stable utility and its assigned utility the \emph{Optimal Stable Share} (OSS)-ratio. We first prove that distributions over stable matchings cannot guarantee an OSS-ratio that is sublinear in the number of workers. Instead, randomizing over possibly non-stable matchings, we show how to achieve a tight logarithmic OSS-ratio. Then, we analyze the case where the real utility is not necessarily known and can only be approximated. In particular, we provide an algorithm that guarantees a similar fraction of the utility compared to the best possible utility. Finally, we move to a bandit setting, where we select a matching at each round and only observe the utilities for matches we perform. We show how to utilize our results for approximate utilities to gracefully interpolate between problems without ties and problems with statistical ties (small suboptimality gaps).
Authors: Ziyad Benomar, Romain Cosson, Alexander Lindermayr, Jens Schöter
Abstract: In non-clairvoyant scheduling, the goal is to minimize the total job completion time without prior knowledge of individual job processing times. This classical online optimization problem has recently gained attention through the framework of learning-augmented algorithms. We introduce a natural setting in which the scheduler receives continuous feedback in the form of progress bars: estimates of the fraction of each job completed over time. We design new algorithms for both adversarial and stochastic progress bars and prove strong competitive bounds. Our results in the adversarial case surprisingly induce improved guarantees for learning-augmented scheduling with job size predictions. We also introduce a general method for combining scheduling algorithms, yielding further insights in scheduling with predictions. Finally, we propose a stochastic model of progress bars as a more optimistic alternative to conventional worst-case models, and present an asymptotically optimal scheduling algorithm in this setting.
Authors: Achraf Azize, Yulian Wu, Junya Honda, Francesco Orabona, Shinji Ito, Debabrota Basu
Abstract: As sequential learning algorithms are increasingly applied to real life, ensuring data privacy while maintaining their utilities emerges as a timely question. In this context, regret minimisation in stochastic bandits under ϵ-global Differential Privacy (DP) has been widely studied. Unlike bandits without DP, there is a significant gap between the best-known regret lower and upper bound in this setting, though they “match” in order. Thus, we revisit the regret lower and upper bounds of ϵ-global DP algorithms for Bernoulli bandits and improve both. First, we prove a tighter regret lower bound involving a novel information-theoretic quantity characterising the hardness of ϵ-global DP in stochastic bandits. Our lower bound strictly improves on the existing ones across all ϵ values. Then, we choose two asymptotically optimal bandit algorithms, i.e. DP-KLUCB and DP-IMED, and propose their DP versions using a unified blueprint, i.e., (a) running in arm-dependent phases, and (b) adding Laplace noise to achieve privacy. For Bernoulli bandits, we analyse the regrets of these algorithms and show that their regrets asymptotically match our lower bound up to a constant arbitrary close to 1. This refutes the conjecture that forgetting past rewards is necessary to design optimal bandit algorithms under global DP. At the core of our algorithms lies a new concentration inequality for sums of Bernoulli variables under Laplace mechanism, which is a new DP version of the Chernoff bound. This result is universally useful as the DP literature commonly treats the concentrations of Laplace noise and random variables separately, while we couple them to yield a tighter bound.
Authors: Marc Jourdan, Achraf Azize
Abstract: Best Arm Identification (BAI) algorithms are deployed in data-sensitive applications, such as adaptive clinical trials or user studies. Driven by the privacy concerns of these applications, we study the problem of fixed-confidence BAI under global Differential Privacy (DP) for Bernoulli distributions. While numerous asymptotically optimal BAI algorithms exist in the non-private setting, a significant gap remains between the best lower and upper bounds in the global DP setting. This work reduces this gap to a small multiplicative constant, for any privacy budget ∈. First, we provide a tighter lower bound on the expected sample complexity of any δ-correct and ∈-global DP strategy. Our lower bound replaces the Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence in the transportation cost used by the non-private characteristic time with a new information-theoretic quantity that optimally trades off between the KL divergence and the Total Variation distance scaled by ∈. Second, we introduce a stopping rule based on these transportation costs and a private estimator of the means computed using an arm-dependent geometric batching. En route to proving the correctness of our stopping rule, we derive concentration results of independent interest for the Laplace distribution and for the sum of Bernoulli and Laplace distributions. Third, we propose a Top Two sampling rule based on these transportation costs. For any budget ∈, we show an asymptotic upper bound on its expected sample complexity that matches our lower bound to a multiplicative constant smaller than 8. Our algorithm outperforms existing δ-correct and ∈-global DP BAI algorithms for different values of ∈.
Authors: Adrien Vacher, Omar Chehab, Anna Korba
Abstract: Sampling from multi-modal distributions is challenging, even in low dimensions. We provide the first sampling algorithm for a broad class of distributions — including all Gaussian mixtures — with a query complexity that is polynomial in the parameters governing multi-modality, assuming fixed dimension. Our sampling algorithm simulates a time-reversed diffusion process, using a specific Monte Carlo estimator of the intermediate score functions. Unlike previous works, it avoids metastability, requires no prior knowledge of the mode locations, and does not rely on restrictive smoothness assumptions that exclude general Gaussian mixtures. We illustrate this result on a low-dimensional but challenging multi-modal sampling task, where our algorithm significantly outperforms existing approaches.
A New Academic Year, New Faces at CREST
Every year, CREST welcomes a new cohort of researchers who bring fresh perspectives, curiosity, and energy to our community. This fall, we are pleased to host new researchers, postdoctoral fellow, PhD students, and visiting researchers from around the world.
Their arrival marks an important moment in the life of our lab: the opportunity to grow, to renew dialogues across disciplines, and to continue building a vibrant and diverse research environment. Whether they join us for a few months or several years, these newcomers contribute to the intellectual richness and collaborative spirit that define CREST.
We are pleased to introduce the researchers who are joining CREST this year, each bringing their unique background and expertise to our four research areas: economics, sociology, statistics, and finance-insurance.
Researchers
This year, several new researchers are joining CREST, strengthening our core faculty and bringing new perspectives across ou disciplines.
Philippe Coulangeon is a CNRS Research Director, affiliated with the Centre for Research on Social Inequalities (CRIS) at SciencesPo Paris.
His work is set at the intersection of cultural sociology and social inequalities. He explores the stratification of cultural practices and tastes, the dynamics of mass versus elite culture, artistic professions, and the democratization of culture. More recently, he has integrated environmental concerns into his analysis.
Fanny Landaud is a CNRS researcher from CY Cergy Paris University and she is an IZA Research Fellow since 2019.
Her research covers applied microeconomics – particularly labor, education, family, and health economics – with a focus on the determinants and consequences of socioeconomic and gender inequalities in education and the labor market.
Antonio Ocello was a Postdoctoral Researcher in Statistics and Machine Learning at École polytechnique (CMAP) since 2023.
His research focuses on mean-field games and mean-field control problems, branching diffusion processes, and stochastic optimal control, combining advanced probabilistic methods with applications in machine learning. He has contributed to work on convergence bounds for trust-region policy optimization in mean-field games and is developing stochastic target frameworks for branching processes.
Enrico Ruolino was a Senior Researcher at the University of Lausanne.
His work focuses on public and labor economics, with a particular emphasis on behavioral responses to tax policy, gender inequality, intergenerational mobility, and educational outcomes.
Clémentine Van Effenterre was previously an Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of Toronto.
Her research lies at the intersection of labor economics, applied microeconomics, and political economy. Notably, she investigates how norms, institutions, and policies shape labor market outcomes – examining issues like maternal labor supply, gender gaps in science and tech, and how having daughters influences political attitudes. She also hosts the “InequaliTalks” podcast on economics and inequality.
Postdoctoral Fellows
Our new postdoctoral researchers are contributing to ongoing projects and launching their own work in close collaboration with CREST teams.
Stéphane Lhaut, in the Finance-Insurance team, with Caroline Hillairet and Olivier Lopez.
Angelica Martinez-Leyva, in the Economics cluster at CREST-ENSAI, with Marion Goussé
Andrea Pandolfi, in Statistics, with Nicolas Chopin
Arthur Stephanovitch, in Statistics, with Austin Stromme
Lishu Zhang, in the Finance-Insurance team, with Olivier-David Zerbib
PhD Students
This year, we welcome a new cohort of PhD students who are beginning their research journeys within our vibrant academic community.
30 new PhD students are joining our laboratory in our different research clusters.
9 PhD students will join our Economic team, 7 in the Finance-Insurance cluster, 12 new PhD students in Statistics, and 2 in our Sociology team.
4 of them will join our lab on the CREST-ENSAI campus in Bruz while the remaining PhD students will join our CREST-ENSAE Paris campus in Palaiseau.
This new team will also be joined by 3 PhD students in ATER contracts in the CREST-ENSAI campus.
Visiting Researchers
CREST is also hosting several visiting researchers this year, joining us for research stays that foster international collaboration.
Yang Chen (Lausanne University, Switzerland) is joining our Economic team to work with Julien Combe on Microeconomic theory and matching theory.
Matias Ortiz (Universidad de Chile, Chile) will work with Vianney Perchet on Learning-Augmented Online Algorithms for Matroid-Constrained problems under Partial in our Statistical team.
Simon Luck (Universita di Bologna, Italy) is joining Etienne Ollion’s team in Sociology to work on using natural language processing to study the relevance of the news media for political representation and decision-making processes.
Jules Verin (ENS Lyon, France) will work with Bertrand Garbinti in Economics on Wealth Accumulation, Life Cycle, and Taxation.
Väinö Yrjänäinen (Uppsala University, Sweden) is joining the Sociology team with Etienne Ollion to work on using work embeddings and transformer models in computational social sciences.
Quand l’identité du codon n’altère pas la structure secondaire des protéines
Les Mouettes Savantes : mathématiques et informatique au service de l’écologie
Du 16 au 20 juin 2025, la deuxième édition des Mouettes Savantes a réuni 30 élèves de seconde issues de lycées de Brest, Rennes et du sud de Paris.
Au programme de ce projet scientifique conçu et organisé par cinq chercheuses et enseignantes-chercheuses, dont Marie Etienne (ENSAI-CREST) : découverte de la recherche en mathématique au service des transitions environnementales, à la station biologique de l’Université de Rennes, en forêt de Paimpont.
Bilan carbone de l’IA générative, alimentation, évolution des températures, moustique tigre et pêche durable : les matinées ont été consacrées à des ateliers scientifiques mobilisant des compétences en mathématiques et informatique, appliquées à des enjeux environnementaux actuels. L’après-midi, place aux activités sportives, ludiques et culturelles au cœur de la forêt de Brocéliande.
Conclusion ? Un franc succès pour ce séjour dont l’objectif est de renforcer la présence des jeunes filles dans les filières et carrières scientifiques.
Marie Etienne a présenté le projet Les Mouettes Savantes lors des Journées Parité de la communauté mathématique 2025 qui se se sont tenues les 23 et 24 juin à l’Université de Rennes, campus Beaulieu.
Ouest France a couvert la dernière édition des Mouettes Savantes dans l’édition du 21 juin 2025.
En savoir plus sur le projet Les Mouettes Savantes
NBER Working paper: Tariffs and Retaliation: A Bried Macroeconomic Analysis by Stéphane Auray, Michael B. Devereux, Aurélien Eyquem, May 2025
Stéphane Auray : Protectionnisme et croissance : quels effets réels ?
Stéphane Auray pour le journal La Tribune
24/01/2025
Welcome to the New Researchers Joining CREST in 2025
CREST is excited to welcome three new researchers who arrived in January 2025. Each brings unique expertise and a strong academic background, further strengthening our multidisciplinary research environment.
Jean-François Chassagneux

Position: Full Professor in Mathematics (ENSAE Paris)
Research Interests: : Mathematical finance & numerical probability: partial hedging and non-linear pricing, quantitative methods for transition risks and carbon markets, switching problems and reflected BSDEs, numerical methods for mean-field systems.
Previous Position: Full Professor in Applied Mathematics, Université Paris Cité & LPSM
Learn More: Jean-François Chassagneux’s personal webpage
Javier Gonzalez-Delgado

Position: Assistant Professor in Statistics (ENSAI)
Research Interests: Selective inference, hypothesis testing, clustering, and statistical methods for real-world problems in biology, particularly structural biology and genetics.
Previous Position: Postdoctoral researcher, Human Genetics, McGill University
Learn More: Javier Gonzalez-Delgado’s personal webpage
“After a period away from here, I am looking forward to reconnect with the French research community and develop new connections with scientists at CREST!”
Mohammadreza Mousavi Kalan

Position: Assistant Professor in Statistics (ENSAI)
Research Interests: Statistical machine learning, Transfer learning, Domain adaptation, Outlier detection, Optimization Theory, Distrusted Computing.
Previous Position: Postdoctoral researcher, Columbia University
“I am excited to join CREST as an Assistant Professor. CREST’s excellent research reputation makes it the perfect place to continue my academic journey. With renowned researchers at CREST, this opens up amazing opportunities for meaningful collaborations that will let me contribute to and grow with this vibrant community. I look forward to impactful research and close collaboration with such inspiring colleagues.”
We are delighted to welcome Jean-François, Javier, and Mohammadreza to the CREST. Their expertise and dedication to advancing research will undoubtedly contribute to the lab’s excellence. Stay tuned for updates on their research and collaborations!
Lionel Truquet, lauréat du Prix Tjalling C.Koopmans
Lionel Truquet, lauréat du Prix Tjalling C.Koopmans
2024 CREST Highlights
As 2024 draws to a close, CREST reflects on a year filled with groundbreaking research, prestigious awards, and impactful initiatives. Here’s a look back at our key achievements.
📊 Research Breakthroughs: 93 Articles Published
CREST published 93 articles so far, with 62% appearing in Q1 journals. These works reflect the breadth and depth of research conducted across CREST’s clusters. Here are some highlights:
Information Technology and Returns to Scale by Danial Lashkari, Arthur Bauer, and Jocely Boussard explores how technological advancements influence economies of scale, shedding light on contemporary production practices, in American Economic Review
Locus of Control and the Preference for Agency by Marco Caliendo, Deborah Cobb-Clark, Juliana Silva-Goncalves, and Arne Uhlendorff investigates how personal traits shape individuals’ economic decisions, providing a deeper understanding of agency in economic behavior, in European Economic Review.
Global Mobile Inventors by Dany Bahar, Prithwiraj Choudhury, Ernest Miguelez, and Sara Signorelli examines the migration patterns of innovative talent worldwide, offering new perspectives on innovation dynamics, in Journal of Development Economics.
Testing and Relaxing the Exclusion Restriction in the Control Function Approach by Xavier D’Haultfoeuille, Stefan Hordelein, and Yuya Sasaki provides advanced methodologies to enhance econometric analysis, in Journal of Econometrics.
Are Economists’ Preferences Psychologists’ Personality Traits? A Structural Approach by Tomas Jagelka bridges economics and psychology, exploring how personality traits influence economic preferences, in Journal of Political Economy.
Autoregressive Conditional Betas by Francisco Blasques, Christian Francq, and Sébastien Laurent provides innovative methods to measure financial risk, critical for investment strategies, in Journal of Econometrics.
Model-based vs. Agnostic Methods for the Prediction of Time-Varying Covariance Matrices by Jean-David Fermanian, Benjamin Poignard, and Panos Xidonas compares methodologies for improving financial predictions under uncertainty, in Annals of Operations Research.
Corporate Debt Value Under Transition Scenario Uncertainty by Theo Le Guedenal and Peter Tankov addresses the valuation of corporate debt amid environmental and regulatory changes, in Mathematical Finance.
Semiparametric Copula Models Applied to the Decomposition of Claim Amounts by Sébastien Farkas and Olivier Lopez develops new actuarial techniques to better understand insurance claims, in Scandinavian Actuarial Journal.
On the Chaotic Expansion for Counting Processes by Caroline Hillairet and Anthony Réveillac advances mathematical models with applications in finance and beyond, in Electronic Journal of Probability.
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Perceived Intergenerational Mobility in Europe by Alexi Gugushvili and Patrick Präg examines how geopolitical shocks affect societal perceptions and mobility, in British Journal of Sociology.
The Total Effect of Social Origins on Educational Attainment: Meta-analysis of Sibling Correlations From 18 Countries by Lewis R. Anderson, Patrick Präg, Evelina T. Akimova, and Christiaan Monden provides a meta-analysis of sibling correlations, offering fresh insights into education and inequality, in Demography.
Context Matters When Evacuating Large Cities: Shifting the Focus from Individual Characteristics to Location and Social Vulnerability by Samuel Rufat, Emeline Comby, Serge Lhomme, and Victor Santoni shifts the focus from individual characteristics to social vulnerabilities during urban evacuations, in Environmental Science and Policy.
Gender Equality for Whom? The Changing College Education Gradients of the Division of Paid Work and Housework Among US Couples, 1968-2019 by Léa Pessin explores shifting dynamics in gendered divisions of labor among U.S. couples over the decades, in Social Forces.
The Augmented Social Scientist: Using Sequential Transfer Learning to Annotate Millions of Texts with Human-Level Accuracy by Salomé Do, Etienne Ollion, and Rubing Shen highlights how AI tools can assist in large-scale sociological research with human-level accuracy, in Sociological Methods and Research.
Investigating Swimming Technical Skills by a Double Partition Clustering of Multivariate Functional Data Allowing for Dimension Selection, by Antoine Bouvet, Salima El Kolei, Matthieu Marbac, in Annals of Applied Statistics.
Full-model estimation for non-parametric multivariate finite mixture models, by Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray, Matthieu Marbac, in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology
Tail Inverse Regression: Dimension Reduction for Prediction of Extremes, by Anass Aghbalou, François Portier, Anne Sabourin, Chen Zhou, in Bernoulli.
Proxy-analysis of the genetics of cognitive decline in Parkinson’s disease through polygenic scores, by Johann Faouzi, Manuela Tan, Fanny Casse, Suzanne Lesage, Christelle Tesson, Alexis Brice, Graziella Mangone, Louise-Laure Mariani, Hirotaka Iwaki, Olivier Colliot, Lasse Pihlstrom, Jean-Christophe Corvol, in NPJ Parkinson’s Disease.
Benign Overfitting and Adaptive Nonparametric Regression, by Julien Chhor, Suzanne Sigalla, Alexandre Tsybakov, in Probability Theory and Related Fields.
🎯 Discover more CREST publications on our HAL webpage.
🌍 Impactful Events and Conferences
CREST actively participated in and hosted events that fostered collaboration and knowledge exchange:
- European Parliament Panel: Sociologist Paola Tubaro led a pivotal discussion on alternatives to platform-driven gig economies, bringing sociological insights to policy discussions.
- Publication by the National Courts of Audit: Barometer of Fiscal and Social Contributions in France – Second Edition 2023.
- NeurIPS 2024: CREST had a strong presence with 19 papers selected, showcasing cutting-edge work in artificial intelligence and neural information processing.
- Cyber-Risk Conference Cyr2fi: Co-organized with École Polytechnique, this event highlighted the interdisciplinary approaches needed to address growing cybersecurity threats.
- Nobel Prize Lecture: Researchers and PhDs of IP Paris Economics Department celebrated the 2023 Nobel Prize in Economics, reinforcing academic excellence.
📅 Join future events: Visit our calendar.
2024 brought two new chairs at CREST:
- Cyclomob by Marion Leroutier highlights research into sustainable urban mobility, funded through a regional chair.
- Impact Investing Chair by Olivier-David Zerbib to maximize the positive impact of the investment on the environment and society.
🏆 Awards and Recognitions
2024 was a year of accolades for CREST:
- 5 ERC Grants for CREST in 2024: Yves Le Yaouanq has recently joined the 2024 group of ERC grantees, which already includes Samuel Rufat, Olivier Gossner, Julien Combe, and Marion Goussé.
- CNRS Bronze Medal: Clément Malgouyres for contributions to labor economics.
- L’Oréal-UNESCO Young Talent: Solenne Gaucher recognized for her sustainable development work.
- EALE Young Labor Economist Prize: Federica Meluzzi for innovative labor market studies.
- 2024 AEJ Best Paper Awards in Macroeconomics: Giovanni Ricco wins the award for his paper “The transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks” with Silvia Miranda-Agrippino.
- Louis Bachelier Prize: Peter Tankov honored for achievements in mathematical finance.
In 2024, some CREST researchers were also appointed in diverse institutions:
- The Economic Journal: Roland Rathelot was appointed Managing Editor.
- The Econometric Society: Olivier Gossner was named Fellow of the Econometric Society.
- French Ministry of Economics: Franck Malherbet appointed as a member of the Expert Group on the Minimum Growth Wage.
📚 Books and Projects
This year, CREST researchers authored several impactful books:
- Ce qui échappe à l’intelligence artificielle, edited by François Levin and Étienne Ollion, critically examines the limits of AI in understanding human complexity.
- Peut-on être heureux de payer des impôts ? by Pierre Boyer engages readers in a thought-provoking discussion on the role of taxation in society.
- Introduction aux Sciences Économiques, cours de première année à l’Ecole polytechnique by Olivier Gossner et al. serves as an accessible entry point for students into economic principles.
- Une étrange victoire, l’extrême droite contre la politique by Michaël Foessel and Étienne Ollion explores the relationship between politics and far-right ideologies.
2024 was also marked by the second series of the Beyond the PhD series, a series of videos dedicated to the PhD course. In 2024, we were able to explore the evolution of the PhD definition through students currently in different years of their studies in all CREST research clusters.
📣 Media and Outreach
CREST researchers were featured in:
- 80+ media outlets, including Le Monde, Le Nouvel Obs, Les Échos, University World News, BBC News Brazil, France Culture, Libération, Le Cercles des Économistes, Médiapart, AOC…
- 30+ op-eds and articles, shaping public discourse.
🎙️ Featured Interview: Pauline Rossi discusses economic inequalities in Le Cercle des Économistes. Listen here.
CREST celebrates a year of remarkable achievements and meaningful contributions to research, society, and global conversations. From groundbreaking publications to prestigious awards and impactful events, our community has continued to push boundaries and inspire innovation.
Looking ahead to 2025, we remain committed to fostering interdisciplinary research, addressing societal challenges, and nurturing a collaborative environment for researchers and students.