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DTSTART:20260329T010000
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DTSTART:20261025T010000
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260611
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20260613
DTSTAMP:20260709T175449
CREATED:20260507T053400Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260507T053413Z
UID:18952-1781136000-1781308799@crest.science
SUMMARY:4th Paris Workshop on Game Theory and Language - Half a Century of "Agreeing to Disagree"
DESCRIPTION:4th Paris Workshop\non Game Theory and Language\nHalf a Century of “Agreeing to Disagree”\nJune 11-12\, 2026\nHalf a century after its publication\, Robert Aumann’s Agreement Theorem (“Agreeing to Disagree”\, The Annals of Statistics\, 1976) has not ceased to intrigue and inspire. \nThe Agreement Theorem states that if two individuals assign the same prior probability over the set of possible states of the world and if — thanks to the common knowledge of their information partitions — the posterior probabilities they attribute to an event are common knowledge\, then these posterior probabilities must be identical. \nAumann’s result builds on a conceptual innovation that is as powerful as elegant: identifying what is commonly known between the participants of an exchange with the meet — the finest common coarsening — of the information partitions. \nThe agreement result and the formal language of modeling knowledge and beliefs introduced by Aumann have generated research in multiple directions: \n\ndynamic foundations in the form of Bayesian dialogues and applications of these to betting and trading scenarios (Bacharach 1979\, Geanakoplos and Polemarchakis 1982\, Milgrom and Stokey 1982\, Sebenius and Geanakoplos 1983)\,\ngeneralizations of the result moving from partitions to σ-algebras and from knowledge of an event to knowledge of random variables (for instance\, Nielsen 1984)\nnotions of “almost” common knowledge (Halpern 1986\, Rubinstein 1989\, Halpern and Moses 1990\, Fagin et al. 1995) and approximate common knowledge in the form of common belief (Geanakoplos 1994\, Morris 1999\, Monderer and Samet 1989)\,\nrelaxations of the common prior hypothesis (Di Tillio\, Lehrer\, and Samet 2022\, Gizatulina and Hellman 2019\, Hellman and Pintér 2022).\n\nWith this workshop\, we honor the fiftieth anniversary of the publication of “Agreeing to Disagree.” \nMore information and program on the Workshop’s website. \n
URL:https://crest.science/event/4th-paris-workshop-on-game-theory-and-language-half-a-century-of-agreeing-to-disagree/
CATEGORIES:Conferences and Workshops,Economics
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T100000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T230000
DTSTAMP:20260709T175449
CREATED:20260601T055748Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260602T061327Z
UID:18982-1781172000-1781218800@crest.science
SUMMARY:Giuseppe CAVALIERE  (Bologna University\, Italy) "Kappa = 1"
DESCRIPTION:Finance-Insurance\nTime: 10.00 am\nDate:11th of June  2026\nRoom 3001 \nGiuseppe CAVALIERE (Bologna University\, Italy) “Kappa = 1” \nAbstract :Integrated autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models serve as counterparts to integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models used for financial returns. However\, despite their resemblance\, asymptotic theory for ACD is still incomplete. Central challenges arise from the facts that: (i) integrated ACD processes imply durations with tail index $\kappa = 1$ and infinite expectation; (ii) conventional asymptotic approaches break down due to the randomness in the number of durations within a fixed observation period. We fill this gap in the literature and provide a unified asymptotic theory for the (quasi)maximum likelihood estimator for integrated ACD models. Based on the new theoretical results\, we also provide a novel framework for hypothesis testing in duration models\, enabling inference on a key empirical question: whether durations possess a finite or infinite expectation. We apply our results to high-frequency cryptocurrency exchange traded fund (ETF) trading data. Motivated by parameter estimates near the integrated ACD region\, we assess whether durations between trades in these markets have finite expectation\, an assumption often made implicitly in the literature on point process models. Our empirical findings indicate infinite-mean durations for all five cryptocurrency ETFs examined\, and we reject the integrated ACD hypothesis in favour of heavier-tailed alternatives for four out of the five ETFs. \nJoint work :  T. Mikosch\, A. Rahbek and F. Vilandt\, U Copenhagen \n  \n
URL:https://crest.science/event/giuseppe-cavaliere-bologna-university-italy-kappa-1/
CATEGORIES:Finance-Insurance,Seminars
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T110000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T120000
DTSTAMP:20260709T175449
CREATED:20260601T060044Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260602T061148Z
UID:18985-1781175600-1781179200@crest.science
SUMMARY:Alessandra LUATI (Imperial College\, UK) "On a nu-class of limit-Gaussian distributions"
DESCRIPTION:Finance-Insurance\nTime: 11.00 am\nDate:11th of June  2026\nRoom 3001 \nAlessandra LUATI (Imperial College\, UK) “On a nu-class of limit-Gaussian distributions .” \nAbstract : We discuss a transformation of a Student-t random variable that arises in the field of robust filtering with score-driven models. As a function of the degrees of freedom parameter of the generating Student-t random variable\, here interpreted as a shape parameter\, 1<nu<infinity\, the density of the transformation specifies a class of sub-Gaussian distributions that include a location-scale transformation of a symmetric Beta when nu=1 and the Gaussian as a limit for nu tending to infinity. In some sense\, it can be viewed as a light-tailed counterpart of the Student-t distribution. The density is derived based on its moments\, using Mellin integral transforms. Equivalent representations and reparameterisations are considered. A multivariate version is obtained\, based on the distribution of the quadratic form of independent limit-Gaussian random variables. Applications are outlined\, such as optimal robust filtering with score-driven models\, an area that motivated the derivation of the density\, and volatility modelling. \n  \n  \n
URL:https://crest.science/event/alessandra-luati-imperial-college-uk-t-b-a/
CATEGORIES:Finance-Insurance,Seminars
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260611T133000
DTSTAMP:20260709T175449
CREATED:20260528T135413Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260528T141205Z
UID:18981-1781179200-1781184600@crest.science
SUMMARY:Thomas Soehl (McGill University) - "The fragility of bridging ties: Evidence from refugee sponsorship"
DESCRIPTION:Sociology Seminar \nTime: 12:00 pm – 13:30 pm\nDate: 11th of june\nRoom : 3049 \nThomas SOEHL (McGill University)  – “The fragility of bridging ties: Evidence from refugee sponsorship” \nAbstract :  \nFriendships that cross the immigrant versus native-born divide play a central role in theories of immigrant assimilation. They provide access to resources and are a central aspect of what is often called structural assimilation. Whereas theoretical accounts generally take the formation of these ties to unfold gradually and following assimilation in other domains\, we examine a case where refugee sponsorship provides social connections right upon arrival before significant integration in other domains. Our analysis of a longitudinal survey of Syrian refugees in Canada shows that when refugee sponsorship bridges large social distances – the “sponsorship of strangers” – it leads to larger and more diverse friendship networks. But these additional friendship ties are fragile and quickly dissolve. Although we focus on the case of refugee sponsorship\, our results speak to broader questions about the stability of cross-ethnic ties and the ability of policy interventions to durably affect social contexts. \nOrganizers:\nPaola TUBARO (Pôle sociologie CREST) \nNicolas JULIA (Pôle sociologie CREST) \nPatrick PRÄG (Pôle sociologie CREST) \nSponsors:\nCREST \n
URL:https://crest.science/event/thomas-soehl-mcgill-university-the-fragility-of-bridging-ties-evidence-from-refugee-sponsorship/
CATEGORIES:Seminars,Sociology
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