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X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://crest.science
X-WR-CALDESC:Events for CREST
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TZID:Europe/Paris
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DTSTART:20190331T010000
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DTSTART:20191027T010000
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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190521T103000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190521T113000
DTSTAMP:20260822T123108
CREATED:20190509T110719Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20190509T110719Z
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SUMMARY:Jérémy Fouliard (LBS) - "Answering the Queen : online machine learning and financial crises"\, joint work with Hélène Rey (LBS)
DESCRIPTION:\nThe Stats-Machine Learning-Econometrics Seminar.\nTime: 10:30 am – 11:30 am\nDate: 21st of May 2019\nPlace: Room 3001.\nJérémy Fouliard (LBS) – “Answering the Queen : online machine learning and financial crises”\, joint work with Hélène Rey (LBS) \nAbstract: Predicting systemic financial crises has been elusive. It is however a key input for macroprudential policy. We consider the framework of sequential predictions\, also called  online machine learning\,   to predict systemic financial crises in a panel of 7 countries. Since there is no consensus on the origins of financial crises\, we optimally aggregate a class of reference forecasters using 4 types of aggregation rules. We can predict crisis periods 3 years in advance out-of-sample with remarkable accuracy. We report for each country the subset of variables that appear the most frequently in our best forecasting models. \n\n\n\nSponsors:\nCREST\n\n\n
URL:https://crest.science/event/jeremy-fouliard-lbs-answering-the-queen-online-machine-learning-and-financial-crises-joint-work-with-helene-rey-lbs/
LOCATION:ENSAE Paris\, 5\, avenue Henry Le Chatelier\, 91120 Palaiseau\, France
CATEGORIES:Economics,Statistics
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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190521T121500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190521T131500
DTSTAMP:20260822T123108
CREATED:20190514T165627Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20241104T133422Z
UID:12266-1558440900-1558444500@crest.science
SUMMARY:Anett JOHN (CREST) - “Can Simple Psychological Interventions Increase Preventive Health Investment?"
DESCRIPTION:\nThe Microeconometrics Seminar: Every Tuesday at 12:15 pm.\nTime: 12:15 pm – 1:15 pm\nDate: 21st of May 2019\nPlace: Room 3001.\nAnett JOHN (CREST) – “Can Simple Psychological Interventions Increase Preventive Health Investment?”\, joint work with Johannes Haushofer (Princeton) and Kate Orkin (Oxford). \nAbstract: Behavioral constraints may explain part of low demand for preventive health products. We test the effects of two light-touch psychological interventions on water chlorination and related health and economic outcomes using a randomized controlled trial among 3750 women in rural Kenya. One intervention encourages participants to visualize alternative realizations of the future; one builds participants’ ability to make concrete plans to achieve goals. Both interventions include information on health benefits of chlorination. After twelve weeks\, both interventions increase the share of households who chlorinate drinking water and reduce child diarrhea episodes. Analysis of mechanisms suggests both interventions increase self-efficacy – beliefs about one’s ability to achieve desired outcomes – as well as the salience of chlorination. They do not differentially affect beliefs and knowledge about chlorination (compared to a group who receive only information)\, nor affect lab measures of time preferences or planning ability. Results suggest simple psychological interventions can increase use of preventive health technologies. \n\n\nOrganizers:\nLaurent Davezies (CREST)\, Benoit Schmutz (CREST)\, Arne Uhlendorff (CREST) & Lucas Girard (CREST)\nSponsors:\nCREST\nLunch registration:\nfood provided\, no registration\n\n
URL:https://crest.science/event/anett-john-crest-simple-psychological-intervention-increase-preventive-health-investment/
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar,Economics,Microeconometrics,Seminars
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