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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20230622T113000
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SUMMARY:CANCELLED - Massimiliano CAPORIN (University of Padova) "Exploiting Intraday Decompositions  in Realized Volatility Forecasting : A Forecast Reconciliation Approach"
DESCRIPTION:Finance & Financial Econometrics: \nTime: 11.30 am\nDate: 22th of June 2023\nRoom 3001 \nMassimiliano CAPORIN (University of Padova) “Exploiting Intraday Decompositions in Realized Volatility Forecasting : A Forecast Reconciliation Approach” \nAbstract : We address the construction of Realized Variance (RV ) forecasts by exploiting the hierarchical structure implicit in available decompositions of RV . By using data referred to the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and to its constituents we show that exploiting the informative content of hierarchies improves the forecast accuracy. Forecasting performance is evaluated out-of-sample based on the empirical MSE and QLIKE criteria as well as using the Model Confidence Set approach. \nJoint work : T. Di Fonzo\, and D. Girolimetto \n  \nOrganizers:\nJean-Michel ZAKOIAN (CREST) \nSponsors:\nCREST \n
URL:https://crest.science/event/massimiliano-caporin-university-of-padova-exploiting-intraday-decompositions-in-realized-volatility-forecasting-a-forecast-reconciliation-approach/
CATEGORIES:Finance-Insurance,Financial Econometrics
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