BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//CREST - ECPv5.1.3//NONSGML v1.0//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-WR-CALNAME:CREST
X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://crest.science
X-WR-CALDESC:Events for CREST
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/Helsinki
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0300
TZNAME:EEST
DTSTART:20170326T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0300
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:EET
DTSTART:20171029T010000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20171205T121500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20171205T133000
DTSTAMP:20260715T062342
CREATED:20171123T210442Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20241104T133451Z
UID:11976-1512476100-1512480600@crest.science
SUMMARY:Jan STUHLER (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) – “Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration on Wages”
DESCRIPTION:The Microeconometrics Seminars: Every Tuesday at 12:15 pm\n\n\n\n\n\nTime: 12:15 pm – 1:30 pm\nDate: 5th of December 2017\nPlace: Room 3001\nJan STUHLER (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) – “Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration on Wages”\nAbstract: Many studies exploit geographic variation in the concentration of immigrants to identify their impact on labor market or other outcomes. National inflows of immigrants are interacted with their past geographic distribution to create an instrument\, in the hopes of breaking the endogeneity between local conditions and the location choice of immigrants. We present evidence that estimates based on this shift-share instrument are subject to bias from a conflation of short- and long-run responses\, which stems from the interplay of two factors. First\, local shocks may trigger adjustment processes that gradually offset their initial impact. Second\, the spatial distribution of immigrant arrivals can be highly stable over time. In the U.S.\, their distribution has in recent decades been almost perfectly serially correlated\, with the same cities repeatedly receiving large inflows. Estimates based on the conventional shift- share instrument are therefore unlikely to identify a causal effect. However\, we propose a “double instrumentation” solution to the problem that — by isolating spatial variation that stems from changes in the country-of-origin composition on the national level — produces estimates that are likely to be less biased. Our results are a cautionary tale for a large body of empirical work\, not just on immigration\, that rely on shift-share instruments for causal identification.\n\n\n\n\n\n
URL:https://crest.science/event/jan-stuhler-universidad-carlos-iii-de-madrid-shift-share-instruments-and-the-impact-of-immigration-on-wages/
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar,Economics,Microeconometrics,Seminars
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR