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Stefanie HALLER (University college Dublin) “How Exporters Grow “
December 10, 2018, 12:15 pm - 1:30 pm
Time: 12:15pm – 13:30 pm
Date: 10th of December 2018
Place: Room 3001
Stefanie HALLER (University college Dublin) “How Exporters Grow ”
Abstract : We use customs microdata to distinguish between competing models of demand and customer base. We purge supply-side variation from the data by comparing quantities and prices across markets within a firm. Higher quantities on entry forecast survival in an export market, but survival is unrelated to initial prices. Conditioning on sur- vival, there is economically and statistically significant growth of quantities within a firm-market, but no dynamics of prices. These facts are consistent with a model of the demand side of firm growth where entrants to a market learn about idiosyncratic demand through quantities, generating selective exit, while survivors grow by accumu- lating customer base through marketing and advertising. They present a challenge to models where firms learn about idiosyncratic demand through prices, and to models where current demand depends on lagged sales.
work joint with : Doireann Fitzgerald & Yaniv Yedid-Levi